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Bounds on integrals with respect to multivariate copulas

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In this paper, we present a method to obtain upper and lower bounds on integrals with respect to copulas by solving the corresponding assignment problems (AP’s). In their 2014 paper, Hofer and Iacó proposed this approach for two dimensions and stated the generalization to arbitrary dimensons as an open problem. We will clarify the connection between copulas and AP’s and thus find an extension to the multidimensional case. Furthermore, we provide convergence statements and, as applications, we consider three dimensional dependence measures as well as an example from finance.
EN
Nelsen et al. [20] find bounds for bivariate distribution functions when there are constraints on the values of its quartiles. Tankov [25] generalizes this work by giving explicit expressions for the best upper and lower bounds for a bivariate copula when its values on a compact subset of [0; 1]2 are known. He shows that they are quasi-copulas and not necessarily copulas. Tankov [25] and Bernard et al. [3] both give sufficient conditions for these bounds to be copulas. In this note we give weaker sufficient conditions to ensure that both bounds are simultaneously copulas. Furthermore, we develop a novel application to quantitative risk management by computing bounds on a bivariate risk measure. This can be useful in optimal portfolio selection, in reinsurance, in pricing bivariate derivatives or in determining capital requirements when only partial information on dependence is available.
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Bivariate copulas, norms and non-exchangeability

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The present paper is related to the study of asymmetry for copulas by introducing functionals based on different norms for continuous variables. In particular, we discuss some facts concerning asymmetry and we point out some flaws occurring in the recent literature dealing with this matter.
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Forecasting time series with multivariate copulas

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In this paper we present a forecasting method for time series using copula-based models for multivariate time series. We study how the performance of the predictions evolves when changing the strength of the different possible dependencies, as well as the structure of the dependence. We also look at the impact of the marginal distributions. The impact of estimation errors on the performance of the predictions is also considered. In all the experiments, we compare predictions from our multivariate method with predictions from the univariate version which has been introduced in the literature recently. To simplify implementation, a test of independence between univariate Markovian time series is proposed. Finally, we illustrate the methodology by a practical implementation with financial data.
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On Conditional Value at Risk (CoVaR) for tail-dependent copulas

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The paper deals with Conditional Value at Risk (CoVaR) for copulas with nontrivial tail dependence. We show that both in the standard and the modified settings, the tail dependence function determines the limiting properties of CoVaR as the conditioning event becomes more extreme. The results are illustrated with examples using the extreme value, conic and truncation invariant families of bivariate tail-dependent copulas.
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Multivariate extensions of expectiles risk measures

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This paper is devoted to the introduction and study of a new family of multivariate elicitable risk measures. We call the obtained vector-valued measures multivariate expectiles. We present the different approaches used to construct our measures. We discuss the coherence properties of these multivariate expectiles. Furthermore, we propose a stochastic approximation tool of these risk measures.
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