The aim of the study was to evaluate the effect of mineral fertilization and seed quality on the yield of winter wheat in production conditions. This assessment is made in terms of the expected probabilities of success in relation to the yield of analyzed cultivars, taking into account the interaction of the factors considered. Analyses were performed on data from 3815 fields. The impact of fertilizers and seed quality was evaluated using logistic regression. Grain yield was transformed into a binomial variable, where values were divided into two classes, i.e. below the mean and above the mean. The results of the analysis proved a significant effect of fertilization rate, which was modified by different seed quality. The highest probability of obtaining yields above the mean was observed for pre-basic and basic seed quality at high fertilizer rates.
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The aim of this paper is to present a statistical methodology to assess patterns of cultivars' adaptive response to agricultural environments (agroecosystems) on the basis of complete Genotype x Crop Management x Location x Year (GxMxLxY) data obtained from 3-year multi-location twofactor trials conducted within the framework of the Polish post-registration trials (PDOiR), with an illustration of the application and usefulness of this methodology in analyzing winter wheat grain yield. Producing specific varieties for each subregion of a target region, from widely adapted varieties, may exploit positive genotype x location (GL) interactions to increase crop yields. Experiments designed to examine combinations of environment (E), management practices (M) and cultivars (G) also provide evidence of the relative importance of each of these factors for yield improvement. The evidence shows that variation due to E far outweighs the variation of grain yield that can be attributed to M or G, or the interactions between these factors, and between these factors and E (Anderson, 2010). This statistical method involves the use of functional PCA and cluster analysis. A total of 24 cultivars were evaluated over 3 years in 20 environments using randomized incomplete split-block designs with two replications per trial. The methodology proved an efficient tool for the reliable classification of 24 winter wheat cultivars, distinguishing cultivar groups that exhibited homogeneous adaptive response to environments. It enables the identification of cultivars displaying wide or specific adaptation. The remaining cultivars were locally adapted to some testing environments, or some of them were not relatively adapted to the environments because they always yielded substantially below the environmental means. Performing earlier specific selection, or adopting distinct genetic bases for each agro-ecosystem, may further increase the advantage of specific breeding.
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